F.J. Reitz
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #4
Mater Dei Regional Rank #2
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 9.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 68.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Run For the Gold Alan Hopewell Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Jasper Wildcat Invitational Nike Twilight Evansville City/SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/31 9/4 9/7 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 154 158 224 194 396 211 207 241 122 249
Team Adjusted Rating 158 224 194 216 211 207 241 122 197
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Run For the Gold Alan Hopewell Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Jasper Wildcat Invitational Nike Twilight Evansville City/SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
Jackson Nolan 12 15:33 15:34 15:40 15:34 15:29 15:37 15:17 16:01 16:22 15:34 15:46
48  Will Dierlam 10 16:11 17:19 16:21 16:38 16:29 16:30 16:29 16:33 16:29 16:04 16:04
50  Carter Zieren 10 16:12 16:31 16:06 16:26 16:03 16:15 16:13 16:25 16:03 16:06
55  Sawyer Mossberger 12 16:16 16:04 16:27 16:42 16:57 16:18 16:23 16:28 16:07 17:20
113  Brice Johnson 12 16:36 16:33 16:19 16:37 16:27 17:12 17:08 16:44 16:43 16:27
293  Caleb Merritt 12 17:09 17:16 16:37 17:03 17:18 17:29 17:18 16:53 17:03 17:11 17:04
449  Isaac Goedde 10 17:32 18:22 17:30
503  Josiah Spanner 11 17:40 18:04 18:19 17:24 17:35 17:39
930  Sam Heathcotte 12 18:23 18:07 18:00 18:15 18:21 18:34 18:17 18:46 18:13 18:24
1,049  Grant Hull 12 18:32 18:36 17:38 18:22 18:52
Caleb Hammonds 10 19:00 18:42 18:42 19:01 19:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 4.6 186 9.0 13.9 15.3 15.5 14.5 9.9 7.8 5.7 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 78 18.1 39.7 42.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 5.3 2.0 5.4 13.2 14.2 12.6 9.7 8.3 6.2 5.3 4.2 3.2 2.8 2.1 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Will Dierlam 100% 50.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 100.0%
Carter Zieren 100% 52.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.9 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 61.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 99.8%
Brice Johnson 100% 117.6 0.0 88.6%
Caleb Merritt 100% 200.6 5.0%
Sam Heathcotte 100% 246.8 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 1.0 53.8 19.7 10.8 6.2 3.6 2.7 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Will Dierlam 100% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.5 3.3 4.2 4.8 6.3 8.1 8.4 8.9 8.3 7.2 6.1 5.3 3.8 3.7 2.9 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 100.0%
Carter Zieren 100% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.1 4.1 5.1 5.8 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.5 6.6 6.4 5.8 4.2 4.3 3.9 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.4 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.4 3.9 5.2 5.8 7.1 7.0 7.3 7.1 6.5 6.4 5.3 4.6 4.5 3.6 2.7 2.7 100.0%
Brice Johnson 100% 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.5 2.5 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.6 100.0%
Caleb Merritt 100% 50.3 0.0 100.0%
Sam Heathcotte 100% 130.5 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 1.0 100.0
Will Dierlam 2.2 43.1 32.5 20.1 3.3 0.8 0.2
Carter Zieren 2.4 36.5 34.4 23.5 4.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Sawyer Mossberger 3.2 16.1 27.1 43.9 10.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
Brice Johnson 5.5 0.0 0.1 1.7 34.4 29.1 21.9 7.8 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caleb Merritt 11.7 0.3 1.7 6.6 10.3 11.1 12.1 11.0 10.9 9.2 7.7 6.1 5.3 3.5 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Sam Heathcotte 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.5